Canadians will vote for a new government in an election that has been upended by U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war and threats to make Canada the 51st state.

Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party still appears poised to win, pollsters say, even as its lead over the Conservative Party has shrunk.

The first results will come in just after 7 p.m. and 7:30 p.m. Eastern Time, when voting hours end in the four Atlantic provinces, accounting for a little less than 10% of the seats in play. The vast majority of results will be released at 9:30 p.