"If we get inflation, the Fed will be behind the curve," top economist Adam Posen warned.

She estimates the probability of a U.S. recession over the next 12 months at 40%, though it may be more likely that there ...

A leading economist contends a recession is now more likely than not due to the Trump administration’s trade wars, and that ...

An aggressive U.S. tariff policy will trigger a significant slowdown in the U.S. economy this year and next, with the median ...

Tariffs can’t cause recessions alone, but they accelerate downturns or induce recessions when paired with slowing growth, ...

Though President Trump’s April 9 announcement of a 90-day pause in many planned tariffs reduced fears of an imminent economic ...

Our survey shows economists expect slower growth and see a recession as more likely. They were pessimistic a year ago, too, ...

Forecasters are split on whether President Donald Trump's tariff campaign will push the economy into a recession, with many ...

The memes responding to Trump’s seesawing tariff policy hint at a collective psychological state.

Behind the gradual and relatively small rise in the U.S. unemployment rate in recent years are a couple of less-closely ...