"If we get inflation, the Fed will be behind the curve," top economist Adam Posen warned.

She estimates the probability of a U.S. recession over the next 12 months at 40%, though it may be more likely that there ...

A leading economist contends a recession is now more likely than not due to the Trump administration’s trade wars, and that ...

An aggressive U.S. tariff policy will trigger a significant slowdown in the U.S. economy this year and next, with the median ...

Though President Trump’s April 9 announcement of a 90-day pause in many planned tariffs reduced fears of an imminent economic ...

Our survey shows economists expect slower growth and see a recession as more likely. They were pessimistic a year ago, too, ...

Behind the gradual and relatively small rise in the U.S. unemployment rate in recent years are a couple of less-closely ...

That dynamic has prompted some prospective home buyers to say they’re holding out for a recession because they expect an economic downturn will force home prices lower. They might be in for a ...

Larry Summers has predicted that the U.S. could enter a recession because of President Donald Trump 's tariff policies. Since ...

President Donald Trump has favored tariffs for years. His expanding trade war is sure to ripple through the global economy for a long while, too. That’s because ramping up tariffs on foreign ...

It’s likely, however that the White House will provide carveouts, exceptions and subsidies that would allow the U.S. to narrowly avoid a downturn but still bring the economy to a standstill ...