Jerome Powell’s impressive soft landing only leads to more hard choices. The Federal Reserve chairman’s feat leading an ...

FED CHAIR POWELL SAYS TARIFFS LIKELY TO ... to several leading economic forecasters hiking the probability of the U.S. economy entering a recession this year. Get a brief on the top business ...

Fed's Powell says tariffs put its goals of low inflation and a stable economy in tension. So it will 'wait for greater ...

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in a speech today that President Trump's tariffs are likely to boost U.S. inflation.

U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that the Fed would wait for more data on the economy's direction ...

The Federal Reserve could face the “challenging scenario” of rising inflation at the same time the U.S. labor market is ...

To be more explicit, this article will A) directly focus on how these factors have shifted the probability curve of an incoming recession, and B) reexamine GLD and SLV under the new probability curve.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated in remarks Wednesday that central bankers are focusing on inflation concerns when evaluating the economic risks of President Donald Trump's tariffs.

What is a recession, and when will we know if we are in one? A common rule of thumb is that two consecutive quarters of declining gross domestic product counts as a recession. The U.S. could ...

A few weeks ago we reviewed the US stock market’s implied estimate of recession risk and reported that the probability that the economy was contracting was low. In the wake of the recent market ...